Inequality Number Line Graph Generator

Fundamental Findings

California voters have at present received their mail ballots, and the November 8 general election has entered its final stage. Amid ascent prices and economic uncertainty—as well as deep partisan divisions over social and political issues—Californians are processing a swell deal of information to assist them choose state constitutional officers and state legislators and to make policy decisions about land propositions. The 2022 midterm ballot also features a closely divided Congress, with the likelihood that a few races in California may determine which political party controls the United states House.

These are amongst the primal findings of a statewide survey on country and national issues conducted from October 14 to 23 by the Public Policy Institute of California:

Many Californians have negative perceptions of their personal finances and the Usa economy. Seventy-6 percentage rate the nation'southward economic system as "non so good" or "poor." 30-ix percentage say their finances are "worse off" today than a yr ago. Forty-seven percent say that things in California are going in the right direction, while 33 percent recollect things in the US are going in the correct direction; partisans differ in their overall outlook.→
Amid likely voters, 55 percent would vote for Gavin Newsom and 36 percent would vote for Brian Dahle if the governor's election were today. Partisans are deeply divided in their choices. Sixty percent are very or fairly closely following news about the governor's race. 60-two percent are satisfied with the candidate choices in the governor's election.→
When likely voters are read the election championship and labels, 34 percent would vote yep on Proposition 26 (sports betting at tribal casinos), 26 percentage would vote yes on Proposition 27 (online sports gambling), and 41 percent would vote yes on Proffer 30 (reducing greenhouse gases). Virtually likely voters say they are not personally interested in sports betting, and 48 percent think information technology would exist a "bad thing" if it became legal in the land. Fewer than half of likely voters say the vote outcome of Propositions 26, 27, or xxx is very important to them.→
Fifty-six pct of likely voters would support the Democratic candidate in their US Firm race if the election were today. Sixty-one percent say the event of ballgame rights is very of import in their vote for Congress this year; Democrats are far more probable than Republicans or independents to hold this view. About half are "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic nigh voting for Congress this year; 54 percentage of Republicans and Democrats, and 41 pct of independents, are highly enthusiastic this year.→
Xl-five percent of Californians and 40 percent of likely voters are satisfied with the style that democracy is working in the United States. Republicans are far less likely than Democrats and independents to hold this positive view. There is rare partisan consensus on ane topic: majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents are pessimistic that Americans with different political views can notwithstanding come up together and work out their differences.→
Majorities of California adults and likely voters approve of Governor Gavin Newsom and President Joe Biden. Nigh four in x or more than California adults and likely voters corroborate of U.s.a. Senator Dianne Feinstein and US Senator Alex Padilla. These approval ratings vary across partisan groups. Approval of the land legislature is college than approval of the U.s. Congress.→

Overall Mood

With less than two weeks to go until what is set up to be a highly consequential midterm election, California adults are divided on whether the land is mostly headed in the right direction (47%) or wrong direction (48%); a bulk of probable voters (54%) think the state is headed in the wrong direction (43% right direction). Similar shares held this view last month (incorrect direction: 44% adults, 49% likely voters; correct direction: 50% adults, 48% likely voters). Today, in that location is a broad partisan split: vii in ten Democrats are optimistic about the direction of the land, while 91 percent of Republicans and 59 percentage of independents are pessimistic. Majorities of residents in the Central Valley and Orange/San Diego say the state is going in the wrong direction, while a majority in the San Francisco Bay Area say correct direction; adults elsewhere are divided. Across demographic groups, Californians ages 18 to 34 (60%), Asian Americans (52%), college graduates (52%), renters (52%), and women (52%) are the only groups in which a majority are optimistic near California'due south direction.

figure - Half or fewer Californians have said the state is going in the right direction throughout 2022

Californians are much more pessimistic about the direction of the country than they are nigh the direction of the state. Solid majorities of adults (62%) and likely voters (71%) say the United States is going in the wrong direction, and majorities have held this view since September 2021. One in 3 or fewer adults (33%) and likely voters (25%) think the country is going in the correct direction. Majorities across all demographic groups and partisan groups, equally well as beyond regions, are pessimistic almost the management of the United States.

figure - The share of adults who say the United States is going in the right direction has been trending downward since mid-2021

The state of the economy and inflation are probable to play a disquisitional office in the upcoming election, and about 4 in x adults (39%) and probable voters (43%) say they and their family unit are worse off financially than they were a year ago. Similar shares say they are financially in about the same spot (43% adults, 44% likely voters). The share who experience they are worse off has risen slightly among probable voters since May, simply is similar amongst adults (37% adults, 36% likely voters). Fewer than two in ten Californians say they are better off than they were one year ago (17% adults, 13% likely voters). A wide partisan divide exists: well-nigh Democrats and independents say their financial state of affairs is about the same every bit a year ago, while solid majorities of Republicans say they are worse off. Regionally, nigh half in the San Francisco Bay Expanse and Los Angeles say they are about the same, while one-half in the Key Valley say they are worse off; residents elsewhere are divided between being worse off and the same. Beyond demographic groups, pluralities say they are either financially well-nigh the same as last year or worse off, with the exception of African Americans (51% about the same, 33% worse off, 16% amend off) and Asian Americans (51% nigh the same, 27% worse off, 20% improve off). The shares maxim they are worse off refuse as educational attainment increases.

With persistent inflation and concerns about a possible recession in the future, an overwhelming bulk of Californians believe the Us economy is in non so good (43% adults, twoscore% likely voters) or poor (33% adults, 36% likely voters) shape. About a quarter of adults (3% excellent, xx% practiced) and probable voters (2% fantabulous, 23% good) feel positively most the national economy. Potent majorities across partisan groups feel negatively, just Republicans and independents are much more likely than Democrats to say the economy is in poor shape. Solid majorities across the state's major regions too as all demographic groups say the economic system is in not and then good or poor shape. In a recent ABC News/Washington Post poll, 24 percent (three% fantabulous, 21% skillful) of adults nationwide felt positively nearly the United states of america economy, while 74 percent (36% not and so adept, 38% poor) expressed negative views.

Gubernatorial Election

Six in ten likely voters say they are following news about the 2022 governor's race very (25%) or fairly (35%) closely—a share that has risen from half simply a month ago (17% very, 33% fairly). This finding is somewhat similar to October 2018, when 68 percent said this (28% very, 40% closely) a month before the previous gubernatorial election. Today, majorities across partisan, demographic, and regional groups say they are post-obit news about the gubernatorial election either very or fairly closely. The shares proverb they are following the news very closely is highest amongst residents in Republican districts (39%), Republicans (30%), whites (29%), and adults with incomes of $40,000 to $79,999 (29%). Older likely voters (27%) are slightly more probable than younger likely voters (21%) to say they are following the news closely.

figure - Six in ten likely voters are following news about candidates for the 2022 governor's election at least fairly closely

Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom is ahead of Republican Brian Dahle (55% to 36%) among likely voters, while few say they would not vote, would vote for neither, or don't know who they would vote for in the governor's race. The share supporting the reelection of the governor was similar a month ago (58% Newsom, 31% Dahle). Today, Newsom enjoys the support of virtually Democrats (91%), while most Republicans (86%) back up Dahle; Newsom has an edge over Dahle among contained likely voters (47% Newsom, 37% Dahle). Beyond the state's regions, ii in iii in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles back up Newsom, every bit do most half in the Inland Empire and Orange/San Diego; likely voters in the Key Valley are split. Newsom leads in all demographic groups, with the exception of men (45% Newsom, 44% Dahle) and those with a high school diploma only (46% Newsom, 49% Dahle). The share supporting Newsom grows as educational attainment increases (46% high school only, 56% some college, 60% college graduates), while information technology decreases with rising income (64% less than $forty,000, 56% $twoscore,000 to $79,999, 52% $lxxx,000 or more).

figure - A majority of likely voters would vote to reelect Gavin Newsom if the election were held today

A solid majority of probable voters (62%) are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the November viii ballot, while about 3 in x (32%) are non satisfied. Shares expressing satisfaction have increased somewhat from a month ago (53%) and were similar prior to the 2018 gubernatorial ballot (60% October 2018). Today, a solid majority of Democrats (79%) and independents (61%) say they are satisfied, compared to fewer than one-half of Republicans (44%). Majorities beyond demographic groups say they are satisfied, and notably, women (68%) are more probable than men (56%) to say this. Majorities beyond the state'due south regions say they are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the upcoming gubernatorial election.

State Propositions 26, 27, and 30

In the upcoming November viii ballot, at that place will exist seven country propositions for voters. Due to fourth dimension constraints, our survey only asked nearly three ballot measures: Propositions 26, 27, and 30. For each, we read the suggestion number, ballot, and ballot label. Two of the country election measures were besides included in the September survey (Propositions 27 and thirty), while Suggestion 26 was not.

If the ballot were held today, 34 percentage of likely voters would vote "yes," 57 percent would vote "no," and 9 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 26—Allows In-Person Roulette, Dice, Game, Sports Wagering on Tribal Lands. This measure would permit in-person sports betting at racetracks and tribal casinos, requiring that racetracks and casinos offering sports betting make certain payments to the state to support state regulatory costs. It also allows roulette and dice games at tribal casinos and adds a new style to enforce sure state gambling laws. At that place is partisan agreement on Prop 26: fewer than four in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents would vote "yeah." Moreover, less than a majority beyond all regions and demographic groups—with the exception of likely voters ages 18 to 44 (51% yes, 44% no)—would vote "yes."

If the election were held today, 26 per centum of probable voters would vote "yes," 67 percent would vote "no," and 8 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 27—Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Exterior Tribal Lands. This citizens' initiative would let Indian tribes and affiliated businesses to operate online and mobile sports wagering outside tribal lands. Potent majorities across partisan groups would vote "no" on Prop 27. The share voting "yes" has decreased since a month ago (34% September). Today, fewer than 3 in ten across partisan groups would vote "yes" on Prop 27. Moreover, fewer than four in 10 across regions, gender, racial/ethnic, education, and income groups would vote "yeah." Likely voters ages 18 to 44 (41%) are far more likely than older probable voters ages 45 and above (19%) to say they would vote "yes."

If the election were held today, 41 percent of probable voters would vote "aye," 52 percent would vote "no," and 7 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 30—Provides Funding for Programs to Reduce Air Pollution and Forbid Wildfires by Increasing Tax on Personal Income over $2 Million. This citizens' initiative would increment taxes on Californians earning more than $2 meg annually and allocate that taxation revenue to zero-emission vehicle purchase incentives, vehicle charging stations, and wildfire prevention. The share saying "yes" on Prop 30 has decreased from 55 percent in our September survey (notation: since September, Governor Newsom has been featured in "no on Prop 30" commercials). Today, different Prop 26 and Prop 27, partisan opinions are divided on Prop xxx: 61 percent of Democrats would vote "yes," compared to far fewer Republicans (fifteen%) and independents (38%). Beyond regions, and among men and women, support falls short of a majority (36% men, 45% women). Fewer than half beyond racial/indigenous groups say they would vote "aye" (39% whites, 42% Latinos, 46% other racial/ethnic groups). Just over one-half of likely voters with incomes under $40,000 (52%) would vote "aye," compared to fewer in higher-income groups (42% $forty,000 to $79,999, 36% $fourscore,000 or more). Nigh half of likely voters ages xviii to 44 (49%) would vote "yes," compared to 37 percent of older likely voters.

figure - Overall support for Prop 26, 27, and 30 falls short of a majority, with partisans divided

Fewer than half of likely voters say the outcome of each of these state propositions is very of import to them. Today, 21 percentage of probable voters say the outcome of Prop 26 is very important, 31 percentage say the event of Prop 27 is very important, and 42 percent say the effect of Prop thirty is very important. The shares saying the outcomes are very important to them have remained similar to a month ago for Prop 27 (29%) and Prop thirty (42%). Today, when it comes to the importance of the result of Prop 26, one in 4 or fewer across partisan groups say it is very important to them. Almost i in three across partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 27 is very of import to them. Fewer than one-half across partisan groups say the consequence of Prop xxx is very important to them.

figure - The share of likely voters who say the outcome of the vote is very important differs by proposition

Congressional Elections

When asked how they would vote if the 2022 election for the The states House of Representatives were held today, 56 percent of probable voters say they would vote for or lean toward the Democratic candidate, while 39 percent would vote for or lean toward the Republican candidate. In September, a similar share of likely voters preferred the Democratic candidate (60% Democrat/lean Democrat, 34% Republican/lean Republican). Today, overwhelming majorities of partisans support their political party'due south candidate, while independents are divided (50% Democrat/lean Democrat, 44% Republican/lean Republican). Democratic candidates are preferred past a 26-signal margin in Autonomous-held districts, while Republican candidates are preferred past a 23-point margin in Republican-held districts. In the ten competitive California districts as defined by the Melt Political Report, the Democratic candidate is preferred past a 22-point margin (54% to 32%).

figure - A majority of likely voters would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district if the election for Congress were held today

Ballgame is another prominent effect in this ballot. When asked almost the importance of abortion rights, 61 percent of likely voters say the issue is very important in determining their vote for Congress and another 20 percent say it is somewhat important; simply 17 percentage say information technology is not too or not at all important. Among partisans, an overwhelming bulk of Democrats (78%) and 55 percentage of independents say it is very important, compared to 43 percent of Republicans. Majorities beyond regions and all demographic groups—with the exception of men (49% very important)—say abortion rights are very important when making their option among candidates for Congress.

figure - A solid majority of likely voters say the issue of abortion rights is very important in their vote for Congress this year

With the controlling party in Congress hanging in the balance, 51 percent of likely voters say they are extremely or very enthusiastic nigh voting for Congress this year; another 29 pct are somewhat enthusiastic while 19 percent are either non likewise or not at all enthusiastic. In October 2018 before the concluding midterm ballot, a similar 53 per centum of likely voters were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress (25% extremely, 28% very, 28% somewhat, x% non too, 8% not at all). Today, Democrats and Republicans accept about equal levels of enthusiasm, while independents are much less likely to be extremely or very enthusiastic. Half or more than beyond regions are at least very enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters in Los Angeles (44%) and the San Francisco Bay Area (43%). At least half across demographic groups are highly enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters earning $forty,000 to $79,999 annually (48%), women (47%), Latinos (43%), those with a high school diploma or less (42%), renters (42%), and eighteen- to 44-year-olds (37%).

Democracy and the Political Dissever

As Californians set up to vote in the upcoming midterm election, fewer than half of adults and likely voters are satisfied with the way republic is working in the United States—and few are very satisfied. Satisfaction was college in our February survey when 53 percent of adults and 48 percent of probable voters were satisfied with republic in America. Today, half of Democrats and near four in ten independents are satisfied, compared to nearly i in v Republicans. Notably, four in ten Republicans are not at all satisfied. Across regions, half of residents in the San Francisco Bay Surface area (52%) and the Inland Empire (l%) are satisfied, compared to fewer elsewhere. Beyond demographic groups, fewer than one-half are satisfied, with the exception of Latinos (56%), those with a loftier school degree or less (55%), and those making less than $40,000 (53%).

figure - Fewer than half of Californians are satisfied with the way democracy is working in the United States

In addition to the lack of satisfaction with the way commonwealth is working, Californians are divided almost whether Americans of unlike political positions tin still come together and piece of work out their differences. Forty-nine percent are optimistic, while 46 per centum are pessimistic. Optimism has been similar in more recent years, but has decreased 7 points since we first asked this question in September 2017 (56%). In September 2020, just before the 2020 general election, Californians were also divided (47% optimistic, 49% pessimistic).

Today, in a rare moment of bipartisan understanding, near four in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents are optimistic that Americans of different political views volition be able to come up together. Across regions, about one-half in Orange/San Diego, the Inland Empire, and the San Francisco Bay Area are optimistic. Across demographic groups, just the following groups have a majority or more who are optimistic: African Americans and Latinos (61% each), those with a high school diploma or less (63%), and those with household incomes under $forty,000 (61%). Notably, in 2017, half or more than beyond parties, regions, and demographic groups were optimistic.

figure - Californians are pessimistic that Americans with different political views can still come together and work out differences

Approval Ratings

With most two weeks to go before Governor Newsom'southward bid for reelection, a majority of Californians (54%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the way he is handling his chore, while fewer disapprove (33% adults, 45% likely voters). Blessing was virtually identical in September (52% adults, 55% likely voters) and has been 50 percent or more since January 2020. Today, almost viii in 10 Democrats—compared to near one-half of independents and well-nigh one in 10 Republicans—approve of Governor Newsom. Half or more across regions approve of Newsom, except in the Key Valley (42%). Across demographic groups, about half or more approve of how Governor Newsom is handling his job.

With all 80 state assembly positions and half of country senate seats upwardly for election, fewer than one-half of adults (49%) and probable voters (43%) approve of the way that the California Legislature is handling its job. Views are deeply divided along partisan lines; approving is highest in the San Francisco Bay Surface area and lowest in Orange/San Diego. Most one-half across racial/ethnic groups corroborate, and approval is much college amid younger Californians.

figure - About half approve of the governor and state legislature

Majorities of California adults (53%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the mode President Biden is handling his chore, while fewer disapprove (43% adults, 47% probable voters). Approval is similar to September (53% adults and likely voters), and Biden'south approval rating among adults has been at 50 percent or higher since we first asked this question in Jan 2021. Today, almost viii in ten Democrats corroborate of Biden'due south chore operation, compared to about iv in ten independents and one in ten Republicans. Blessing is higher in the San Francisco Bay Expanse and Los Angeles than in the Inland Empire, Orange/San Diego, and the Key Valley. Nigh half or more across demographic groups corroborate of President Biden, with the exception of those with some college education (44%).

Blessing of Congress remains low, with fewer than iv in ten adults (37%) and likely voters (29%) approving. Approval of Congress amongst adults has been below forty pct for all of 2022 after seeing a brief run above xl percentage for all of 2021. Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to corroborate of Congress. Fewer than half across regions and demographic groups approve of Congress.

figure - About half continue to approve of President Biden; approval of Congress remains low

Us Senator Alex Padilla is on the California ballot twice this November—once for the residue of Vice President Harris's term and once for reelection. Senator Padilla has the approving of 46 percent of adults and 48 percentage of likely voters (adults: 26% disapprove, 29% don't know; likely voters: 31% disapprove, 22% don't know). Approval in March was at 44 percent for adults and 39 percent for likely voters. Today, Padilla'southward approval rating is much higher amidst Democrats than independents and Republicans. Across regions, about half in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and the Inland Empire approve of the US senator, compared to four in x in Orangish/San Diego and 1 in iii in the Cardinal Valley. Across demographic groups, about one-half or more approve amid women, younger adults, African Americans, Asian Americans, and Latinos. Views are similar across didactics and income groups, with just fewer than one-half approving.

US Senator Dianne Feinstein—who is not on the California ballot this November—has the approval of 41 percent of adults and probable voters (adults: 42% disapprove, 17% don't know; likely voters: 52% disapprove, 7% don't know). Approval in March was at 41 percent for adults and 36 percent for likely voters. Today, Feinstein's approval rating is far higher among Democrats and independents than Republicans. Beyond regions, approval reaches a majority only in the San Francisco Bay Area. Beyond demographic groups, approval reaches a majority just amid African Americans